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REG-TotalEnergies SE TotalEnergies Publishes its Annual Report on Scenarios for the Evolution of the Global Energy System

Business Wire•03/11/2026•02:18 ET
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Key Highlights

  • ➤Low-carbon energy investment nearly doubled to $2,100B from 2015 to 2025
  • ➤Trends scenario projects oil demand plateauing in the 2030s, then slowly declining
  • ➤Momentum scenario forecasts +2.3°C to +2.4°C warming by 2100
  • ➤Rupture scenario limits warming to +1.8°C to +1.9°C by 2100
  • ➤China leads low-carbon deployment, while coal’s primary-energy share falls to 25% by 2060

Expert Statements

Aurélien Hamelle, President for Strategy & Sustainability at TotalEnergies

“The global energy system continues to walk a fine line, between resilience and sovereignty challenges, once again highlighted by the crisis in the Middle East, and an ongoing transition.”

Aurélien Hamelle, President for Strategy & Sustainability at TotalEnergies

“Developments since the Strait of Hormuz crisis underline the importance for governments to promote domestic energies, through power generation, notably from renewables, the electrification of demand, and biofuels, while investing in securing the fossil energy system through the diversification of supply sources and investment in storage and transport infrastructure.”

Aurélien Hamelle, President for Strategy & Sustainability at TotalEnergies

“Some of the trends observed in 2026 comfort the transition pathway initiated since the Paris Agreement, but do not support an acceleration sufficient to achieve the goal of limiting warming to below 2 degrees,”

Aurélien Hamelle, President for Strategy & Sustainability at TotalEnergies

“We anticipate increasingly differentiated energy trajectories by region: fossil energy-producing countries will continue to use their domestic resources, oil and gas for the United States, coal for China, India and other Asian countries.”

Aurélien Hamelle, President for Strategy & Sustainability at TotalEnergies

“China is pursuing its massive electrification while leveraging its lead in the deployment and export of low-carbon technologies, whereas Europe will seek a balance between maintaining ambitious climate objectives, preserving the competitiveness of its industry and financing the investments required for the transition and energy security.”

TotalEnergies Publishes its Annual Report on Scenarios for the Evolution of the Global Energy System

As a contribution to the public debate on the energy transition, TotalEnergies (Paris:TTE) (LSE:TTE) (NYSE:TTE) publishes the 8(th) edition of its “TotalEnergies Energy Outlook”, which presents an overview of the energy system as well as scenarios for its evolution through 2060. (documents available at this link ).

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